Inscrit le: 02 Avr 2016
|Posté le: Ven 7 Juil - 09:36 (2017) Sujet du message: Artificial Intelligence The Coming Age Of Singularity
In the distant the future, a useful of 20-first-century human beings are rising from 50 millions years in stopped animation to find their universe absolutely changed. Continents have shifted and converged, creating whole new topographies and climates, while flower and animal life have chased startlingly story and in some cases unrecognisable evolutionary trajectories. Most disturbing of all, the planet is totally uninhabited, with all traces of human civilisation lost to the movement of time. To make matters worse, one of the rulers of the emergent human work to re-set up scientific civilisation has been killed. The opening of Vernor Vinge’s 1986 story Marooned in Realtime hence introduces two mysteries to be resolved together: what became of humankind, and who is the murderer amongst the survivors? In the course of the probe we meet a series of possible suspects, each of whom has a pet theory purporting to account for the evident “Extinction.” Each proposal is considered in turn, but each is finally released. Alien attack? Compellingly sciences-science fiction, but insane and rather as well bearish for Vinge’s liking. Ecological situation? Tree-caressing lie! Nuclear Armageddon? So 20th century – humans are far as well capable, Vinge reckons, their civilizing impulse as well strong to be for good unfinished by one small major nuclear exchange.
In the end, only one explanation is left standing. The answer lies in a ex post facto investigation and logical forward-calculation of the time period leading up to the disappearing of Homo sapiens:
“During the last two thousand years of civilisation, nearly every calculate of progress showed exponential growing. From the 19th century on, this was apparent. People began extrapolating the trends. The results were odd: cars traveling quicker than sound by the middle-20th century, men on the Moon a bit later. All this was achieved, yet progress continued… (109)
“By 2200, we could enlarge human knowledge itself. And knowledge is the foundation of all progress. My guess is that by middle-century, any aim – any aim you can state objectively, without inner contradictions – could be achieved. And what could things be like 50 years after that? There could still be aims and there could still be trying, but not what we could comprehend.
“To call that time ‘the Extinction’ is odd. It was a Singularity, a place where
calculation breaks down and new models should be applied. And those new models are beyond our knowledge.” (one one hundred ten-eleven)